Episode 2: Julia Shvets on Overconfident Managers

Julia Shvets.jpeg

Julia Shvets is an Economist at the University of Cambridge and a Fellow of Christ's College.

The paper discussed in this episode is: Persistent Overconfidence and Biased Memory: Evidence from Managers, by David Huffman, Collin Raymond, and Julia Shvets.

Other papers referenced in this episode are:

  • Bénabou, Roland, and Jean Tirole, “Self-confidence and personal motivation,” The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 2002, 117 (3), 871–915.

  • Benoît, Jean-Pierre and Juan Dubra, “Apparent overconfidence,” Econometrica, 2011, 79 (5), 1591–1625.

  • Benoît, Jean-Pierre, Juan Dubra, and Don A Moore, “Does the better-than-average effect show that people are overconfident?: Two experiments,” Journal of the European Economic Association, 2015, 13 (2), 293–329.

  • Burks, Stephen V, Jeffrey P Carpenter, Lorenz Goette, and Aldo Rustichini, “Overconfidence and social signalling,” Review of Economic Studies, 2013, 80 (3), 949–983.

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Episode 3: Chris Stanton on Learning From Your Colleagues

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Episode 1: Florian Ederer on Killer Acquisitions